The 2016 NFL season has come to an end with the team that was favored to win it all back in the summer, the New England Patriots, staging the biggest rally in Super Bowl history to beat the Atlanta Falcons 34-28 in overtime at Houston’s NRG Stadium in the 51st Super Bowl. And, yes, the Patriots already are favored at Heritage sportsbook to win the Lombardi Trophy again at Super Bowl LII in Minneapolis on Feb. 4, 2018. Here’s a look at how bettors fared on some props at Heritage for the Patriots-Falcons classic.
The Patriots closed as 3-point favorites with a total of 57.5 — that latter number had gotten as high as 59 before late action on the under pushed it down before kickoff, but was still the highest total in Super Bowl history. Bettors largely won on the spread and the total with both New England and the over taking heavy leans. All the Falcons had to do was stop one of New England’s two fourth-quarter 2-point conversions – among other things — and they win the first Super Bowl in franchise history — and that game stays under the total. At the point when the Falcons were up 28-3, the odds of the Patriots winning straight up was +1200.
It was the first overtime in Super Bowl history – the game was assured of going over the total at that point with it tied 28-all. The second half, which included overtime for betting purposes, also went over the total of 30.5 points on the Patriots’ 2-point conversion that tied the game at 28-28.
The Falcons never got the ball as New England won the coin toss and took the ball. Under the fairly new NFL overtime rules, if the team that possesses the ball first on OT scores a touchdown, it’s over. Had the Patriots settled for a field goal, the Falcons would have gotten possession and perhaps the game would have ended as a push on the spread. Every year, some bettors take the long-shot odds on the Super Bowl going to OT and every year the sportsbooks like Heritage laugh all the way to the bank. Not this time as that prop closed at +900 to reach overtime.
That the Patriots didn’t need to attempt the extra point in the overtime was very important. The probably would have just fallen on the ball if forced to attempt it, but the favored exact result for the winning margin was Patriots from 1-6 points at +300. With their cover, the Patriots tied the 1989 San Francisco 49ers for the best ATS season of all time at 16-3. The Falcons had a whopping 16 of their 19 games go over the total.
Bettors also fared well on whether there would be a special teams or defensive touchdown, with yes at +175 and no at -200. Atlanta defensive back Robert Alford made it a 21-0 game in the second quarter by returning a Tom Brady interception 82 yards for a touchdown. Alford paid out at +500 by having an interception in the game. The over/under for longest TD in the game was 49.5 yards and Alford’s pick cashed the over there.